Boat Drinks Virtual Election - Page 12

Mark · 06-05-2010, 22:16

Quote:

Originally Posted by Garp

According to http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2010/...tives-312.html , a US Statistician with a flair for politics, polling and prediction models (gets used by a number of sports organisations for their models)

Conservative prediction 312 vs exit poll 307. That's close. As for the Lib Dems - 45 seats out - and bemusement at the exit poll numbers. We'll see I guess.

Jonny69 · 06-05-2010, 22:19

I don't think any of the parties share my ideals in sustainable development, including the Green party. I wouldn't waste my vote on them anyway. As it goes I voted against Labour. I actually don't think they've done much wrong, from a sust dev perspective they've actually done pretty well and I think their economic policies have and will protect the country from an economic disaster that could have happened. They also have pretty good (as in sensible keen and realistic) green policies which will stand us well in the future.

However, I do think it's time for a change. It's been a long time and green ideals are inevitable because of world problems and recession or not, all the parties recognise that there's an impending world crisis economically, environmentally and (as a result) socially and we can't sustain that globally.

Grandad · 06-05-2010, 22:39

Exit polls suggesting Lib dems to lose seats, after the hype of the 1st debate things seem to have been going downhill steadily

The immigration amnesty was the turning point IMO, how did they think folks would support that ?

Flibster · 06-05-2010, 22:46

Been going through some of the BBC info online - there is some comedy gold party names in there.

Some of my favourites.

Bus-Pass Elvis Party
Church Of The Militant Elvis Party
Citizens for Undead Rights and Equality (these guys were standing in my area - was soo tempting)
Death, Dungeons & Taxes
Fancy Dress Party
Fur Play Party (Sorry?! Furries in power?

)
Imperial party (Darth Vader for PM?)
Motorcycle News Party
Miss GB
National Alliance Against Trolls
Personality AND Rational Thinking? Yes! Party
Rock 'n' Roll Loony Party
Telepathic Partnership

Ooooh, fancy touch screen on the bbc and a big VR swingometer... Poor old Peter Snow - out on his arse.

Garp · 06-05-2010, 23:25

Quote:

Originally Posted by Grandad

Exit polls suggesting Lib dems to lose seats, after the hype of the 1st debate things seem to have been going downhill steadily

The immigration amnesty was the turning point IMO, how did they think folks would support that ?

Bear in mind that exit polls are notoriously inaccurate (to the point of being next to useless other than being talking fodder for television presenters desperate to find something interesting to say), and also don't count any postal votes in their count.
That the exit poll doesn't reflect any other poll done leading up to the election is interesting.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/nickrobin..._argument.html

Unsurprisingly the wooing has started of the Lib Dems.

When a friend of mine went to vote, he came across this:

REports of voters being refused a chance to vote because their queue was too long and the poll officers shut the doors at 10pm are interesting. IMO if you turned up in time you should be allowed to vote. That the rule was applied inconsistently is worse. If any of those candidates lose by a small amount it's going to result in a lot of fuss.

Mark · 06-05-2010, 23:37

What an ugly voting mess. At least some officers had the right idea - anyone in the queue at 10PM gets to vote. The rest - tough luck.

Pickers · 06-05-2010, 23:44

These early predictions pee me off. My facebook status says it all!!

Quote:

Originally Posted by me on facebook

Statistically, on 3 results, yes there is a big conservative swing, but by equal statistical analysis, we are looking at a 100% female labour government... I think we need more results before we make assumptions on the final result please media men.

Flibster · 06-05-2010, 23:51

BREAKING STORY: voters turned away at ranmoor polling station are refusing to let the ballot box out of the building. Police there.

SCM · 06-05-2010, 23:52

Also the swing being reported by the BBC etc is all based off estimated voting in 2005 based on if the new boundaries were in effect then as well. As the 3 seats so far have been redrawn since 2005 so results can be taken with a large pinch of salt.

Jonny69 · 07-05-2010, 00:08

100% female Labour government. I could handle that

Put on a bit of Barry White, dress up like King. Get your own way, mbebeh

View Poll Results: Who do you want to run the country?
Conservatives	13	19.70%
Labour	8	12.12%
Lib Dem	35	53.03%
Other	1	1.52%
Plaid	1	1.52%
SNP	0	0%
I'm not voting	6	9.09%
Someone else	2	3.03%
Voters: 66. You may not vote on this poll

06-05-2010, 22:19	#112
Jonny69 Noob Join Date: Oct 2006 Location: Socialist Republik of Kent Posts: 5,032	I don't think any of the parties share my ideals in sustainable development, including the Green party. I wouldn't waste my vote on them anyway. As it goes I voted against Labour. I actually don't think they've done much wrong, from a sust dev perspective they've actually done pretty well and I think their economic policies have and will protect the country from an economic disaster that could have happened. They also have pretty good (as in sensible keen and realistic) green policies which will stand us well in the future. However, I do think it's time for a change. It's been a long time and green ideals are inevitable because of world problems and recession or not, all the parties recognise that there's an impending world crisis economically, environmentally and (as a result) socially and we can't sustain that globally. __________________

06-05-2010, 22:46	#114
Flibster Moonshine Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 3,388	Been going through some of the BBC info online - there is some comedy gold party names in there. Some of my favourites. Bus-Pass Elvis Party Church Of The Militant Elvis Party Citizens for Undead Rights and Equality (these guys were standing in my area - was soo tempting) Death, Dungeons & Taxes Fancy Dress Party Fur Play Party (Sorry?! Furries in power? ) Imperial party (Darth Vader for PM?) Motorcycle News Party Miss GB National Alliance Against Trolls Personality AND Rational Thinking? Yes! Party Rock 'n' Roll Loony Party Telepathic Partnership Ooooh, fancy touch screen on the bbc and a big VR swingometer... Poor old Peter Snow - out on his arse. __________________

06-05-2010, 23:51	#118
Flibster Moonshine Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 3,388	BREAKING STORY: voters turned away at ranmoor polling station are refusing to let the ballot box out of the building. Police there. __________________

06-05-2010, 23:52	#119
SCM As endorsed by Mr Black Join Date: Apr 2008 Location: Hell/Scotland take your pick Posts: 443	Also the swing being reported by the BBC etc is all based off estimated voting in 2005 based on if the new boundaries were in effect then as well. As the 3 seats so far have been redrawn since 2005 so results can be taken with a large pinch of salt. __________________ The sun is rising The screams have gone Too many have fallen Few still stand tall Is this the ending of what we've begun? Will we remember what we've done wrong? Last edited by SCM; 06-05-2010 at 23:55.

06-05-2010, 22:39	#113
Grandad Old Git Join Date: Nov 2006 Posts: 2,016	Exit polls suggesting Lib dems to lose seats, after the hype of the 1st debate things seem to have been going downhill steadily The immigration amnesty was the turning point IMO, how did they think folks would support that ?

06-05-2010, 23:37	#116
Mark Screaming Orgasm Join Date: Jul 2006 Location: Newbury Posts: 15,194	What an ugly voting mess. At least some officers had the right idea - anyone in the queue at 10PM gets to vote. The rest - tough luck.

07-05-2010, 00:08	#120
Jonny69 Noob Join Date: Oct 2006 Location: Socialist Republik of Kent Posts: 5,032	100% female Labour government. I could handle that Put on a bit of Barry White, dress up like King. Get your own way, mbebeh __________________